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aznl3oi 08-08-2011 07:48 AM

well they could get 75% working interest in the mine for 200M but why would they do that. It is in Teck's interested and ours to just get a straight buy out. In the long run Teck would be making more money. Say the mine is worth 30billion when mined out, we hold ~25% (i don't remember the liard agreement so lets just say 25) we would make about 7.5billion in the long run, whereas Tech could probably buy us out at 3billion now. It would be in Teck interest to do it. This is with the 2007 numbers so if we used the 2011 numbers the mine would be worth over 60b and the 25% would be 15B. All expense will be paid by Teck so we are pretty much free riding in this situation.


and i agree with you the buyout will be around 6-8$. I used an online calcuator and got a NPV of ~3.2B. Teck has 3.7 billion cash sitting right now and they are just waiting for the bfs to make the decision.

highfive 08-08-2011 08:09 AM

True.. I'm calculating conservatively based on the 2007 numbers.

With the higher grade of the RE ->faster payback period -> higher NPV
Higher commodities prices ->higher NPV
Any other additional resources discovered from now till BFS ->higher NPV

This would add to the buyout vale.

blkgsr 08-08-2011 08:18 AM

$6-ish...oh man, i'll buy you dinner if that happens









***not a serious offer lol

highfive 08-08-2011 08:27 AM

$6ish...you can find me at spearmint/sapphire in Vegas. lol

aznl3oi 08-08-2011 08:50 AM

rs dinner @ 6$? haha

looks like a wild ride to the bfs though. Everything i'm looking at is red. I think cuu still has room to drop @ 1.38; there is no support. On the bright side stifel was buying this morning...

Carl Johnson 08-08-2011 09:14 AM

pretty sure the spread between the 10 year treasury and sp500 dividend yield is the widest we've seen in years

highfive 08-08-2011 09:22 AM

Financials are getting hit hard today.

Carl Johnson 08-08-2011 09:25 AM

I am just glad I sold my GS at 134 for a small loss. What a crazy drop man. C is down 11% today WTF.

highfive 08-08-2011 09:32 AM

^yeah I should've sold my C in the 40s. Perfect rebuying level right now.

blkgsr 08-08-2011 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by highfive (Post 7538125)
$6ish...you can find me at spearmint/sapphire in Vegas. lol

group RS/CUU meet for sure

blkgsr 08-08-2011 09:59 AM

how many shares of CUU you guys have?

aznl3oi 08-08-2011 10:07 AM

Obama's speech was pointless... didn't really say anything new.

highfive 08-08-2011 10:17 AM

I have like 60K of CUU.

This is a good read.
Virtus - Joe Terranova Blog

I agree with it. This isn't 2008 but it's selling like it is. I hope you guys bought some oversold stocks cause in a few months, we'll be laughing at this. Honestly, there is going to be one massive short squeeze coming. I think there's FEDS announcements tmrw right?

shawnly1000 08-08-2011 10:22 AM

For real? You've got 60K shares or $?

Calling for a close of more than -500, any takers on under?

shawnly1000 08-08-2011 10:26 AM

LOL woah right on time

DOW is half way if not more to circuit breaker, SPY is 40 away from circuit breaker

bakasam 08-08-2011 11:01 AM

Fuu sold my gold options a day too early otherwise would of had a crazy ROI :(

Hehe 08-08-2011 11:13 AM

I'm mostly cash now... but my portfolio is down about 10K...

Then again, when volume start to go below the average, I'm planning to go big. I think somewhere in the 100~150K range.

SiRV 08-08-2011 11:24 AM

Daymn I bought citi at 26$ during 08 and sold around 44... Nice to see it at the same price again, dono if it's hit the bottom yet though
Posted via RS Mobile

strykn 08-08-2011 01:25 PM

down 24k :[

highfive 08-08-2011 01:25 PM

shawnly1000 - shares.

Good read. I think we are definitely close to the bottom.

News Headlines

China numbers tonight / FEDS tmrw may give us the bounce.

stykn - paper loss not actual loss right?

shawnly1000 08-08-2011 01:36 PM

Woah didn't realize we had some deep pockets here

RS Prop Firm? :fullofwin:

blkgsr 08-08-2011 02:29 PM

my cousin thinks CUU will hit $1 tomorrow....i sure hope not

iam_dan 08-08-2011 05:25 PM

i wouldnt mind hitting $1.
just means i can buy more shares for cheap

aznl3oi 08-08-2011 05:38 PM

i hope it doesn't drop to 1$ but on the other hand i am buying more tomorrow.

interesting watch BNN Video Player he brings up the 2008 crisis highfive brought up earlier.

Ulic Qel-Droma 08-08-2011 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by strykn (Post 7538453)
down 24k :[

dude, cut your losses early.

it's like a relationship with a girl, if it aint going the way you want it, just cut her loose. the thing with the markets is you can always buy her back later! LOL!


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