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Old 12-20-2013, 10:37 AM   #8876
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So far it's holding at +25%, I expected it to fade a bit...
I don't expect much of a fade as I don't really envision there being a lot of profit-taking here with a lot of investors still upside down in the stock.

With that being said, it appears the price is purposely being held close to $2 due to options expiration today.

Kev
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Old 12-21-2013, 04:45 PM   #8877
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Haven't traded a biostock in a year, last time i traded AMRN was nearly 1.5-2 years ago.... BUT if price holds 1.8-2 and builds a base ... gonna yolo some FEB calls
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Old 12-21-2013, 05:08 PM   #8878
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Don't laugh but come come Jan I'll be picking up ARIA common stock or AMRN Feb Calls with my fresh 2014 TFSA money!
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Old 12-21-2013, 06:02 PM   #8879
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HIMX has rallied. Long!
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Old 12-23-2013, 11:05 AM   #8880
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imo diversification is for people who don't know what they are doing. aren't you diversifying your returns at the same time? i think it explains why many fund managers underperform the indexes. one of the advantage of investing on your own is the ability to make concentrated bets on a limited number of companies and that you truly believe will do well in any macro environment and willing to hold onto it as long as the original investment thesis is still intact and valuation still make sense.
"This is a chart that I teach people in the firm, which I call the Holy Grail of investing. [ He draws a diagram where the horizontal axis represents the number of investments and the vertical axis the
standard deviation.]
[He then draws a curve that slopes down from left to right—that is, the greater the number of assets, the lower the standard deviation.]
This chart shows how the volatility of the portfolio changes as you add assets. If you add assets that have a 0.60 correlation to the other assets,
the risk will go down by about 15 percent as you add more assets, but that’s about it, even if you add a thousand assets. If you run a long-only
equity portfolio, you can diversify to a thousand stocks and it will only reduce the risk by about 15 percent, since the average stock has about a
0.60 correlation to another stock. If, however, you’re combining assets that have an average of zero correlation, then by the time you diversify
to only 15 assets, you can cut the volatility by 80 percent. Therefore, by holding uncorrelated assets, I can improve my return/risk ratio by a
factor of five through diversification."

I think Ray Dalio knows what he's doing.
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Old 12-24-2013, 11:01 PM   #8881
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i am not challenging the principle of diversification but merely saying i only care about absolute return where fund mangers are scored on relative performance. i can sit on my ass for a long time and don't have churn my account just because sp500 went up 15% and i forced to make a trade.
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Old 12-24-2013, 11:06 PM   #8882
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i am not challenging the principle of diversification but merely saying i only care about absolute return where i can't hold 10 or 20 stocks in my limit portfolio. if i see an opportunity that is worth taking the risk then i bet big.
I will support the none diversity portfolio for the average investor.

Sure having capital spread over various sectors and businesses allows you to spread the risk, but it also means you need to ACTUALLY SPEND THE TIME TO DO YOUR DD on all these sectors, businesses, competitors, etc... If you are just picking names from a hat or because you saw it on BNN... prepare to be molested by WS/MM.

For me or any other retail investor to have a good diversified portfolio you would need a lot of free time to actually do your research and keep up with news/events.
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Old 12-30-2013, 12:56 PM   #8883
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Friday will certainly be interesting.

Tempted to make a small bet on it at $1.60 as it seems that all the negative news has already been priced into the stock.

The recent CEO resignation and FDA's typical unwillingness to change direction are holding me back though.

Kev

Edit: In at $1.68.
Out today at $1.93.

Kev
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Old 12-30-2013, 06:30 PM   #8884
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Out today at $1.93.

Kev
Goooood jooooorrrrrbbbbbb!

Me, I don't like making money, so I'll just hold on a little longer :s
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Old 12-31-2013, 11:44 AM   #8885
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Into ARIA at $6.71. From one roller coaster to another.

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Old 12-31-2013, 11:48 AM   #8886
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Just as soon as I posted that, it took out my ask. Out at $6.97.

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Old 01-08-2014, 04:08 PM   #8887
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what is the best or most affordable way to trade in the otcmarket?
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Old 01-09-2014, 09:13 AM   #8888
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AMRN looking good, might put in a small position because I haven't been to the casino in a while
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Old 01-10-2014, 07:54 AM   #8889
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Got ICPT when it was $49, 750 shares. Didn't sell yesterday, what a payoff
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Old 01-10-2014, 09:35 AM   #8890
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Got ICPT when it was $49, 750 shares. Didn't sell yesterday, what a payoff
$49?!@!
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Old 01-10-2014, 12:46 PM   #8891
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Got ICPT when it was $49, 750 shares. Didn't sell yesterday, what a payoff
Wow. Very very nice!
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Old 01-10-2014, 01:20 PM   #8892
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So who's predicting Canada going into a recession this year? Today's job report stunk + high personal debts.
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Old 01-10-2014, 07:38 PM   #8893
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So who's predicting Canada going into a recession this year? Today's job report stunk + high personal debts.
Not likely in 2014,... 2015 though.... well... I am going to make sure I have/maintain secure employment as I close out 2014, maybe it's time I apply with the NEB! Ride the govt. gravy train with the rest of the assholes.
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Old 01-10-2014, 10:03 PM   #8894
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Got ICPT when it was $49, 750 shares. Didn't sell yesterday, what a payoff
Hoooooooooooooooooooooollyy!

Jumping up and down?
Where was our intel on this stock lol, kidding. How'd you find out about the stock and what made you so confident in investing 40k?

Congrats, jelly.
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Old 01-10-2014, 10:05 PM   #8895
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So who's predicting Canada going into a recession this year? Today's job report stunk + high personal debts.

I doubt this. The crappy #'s will help the dollar go down. Exports go up.
Precious metals goes up.
TSX and Venture rebound.
And Blaine/Bellingham lose business.
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Old 01-11-2014, 03:36 PM   #8896
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Hoooooooooooooooooooooollyy!

Jumping up and down?
Where was our intel on this stock lol, kidding. How'd you find out about the stock and what made you so confident in investing 40k?

Congrats, jelly.
Same question...$40k on this?

Damn...

Looks like the drug isn't FDA approved yet, would you short it back to $40?
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Old 01-11-2014, 07:00 PM   #8897
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Same question...$40k on this?

Damn...

Looks like the drug isn't FDA approved yet, would you short it back to $40?
You go ahead and do that lol. It's definitely worth a try, 50 dollars to 418.00 is incredible.

Give it a couple more days for the momentum to fully die down, then start shorting. It'd start dropping.

But key is..... learn how long it takes for them to get approval to fast track....don't want to get caught in that. You'll get slaughtered.
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Old 01-13-2014, 11:34 AM   #8898
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I would def have pulled the pin on ITCP in the 400's, pull back seemed like a no brainer on that one, wonder how th short position wll look in a couple weeks.
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Old 01-14-2014, 09:19 AM   #8899
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Got ICPT when it was $49, 750 shares. Didn't sell yesterday, what a payoff
Well I sure hope you sold by now lol..

From $49 to high of $488, and now back down to $252 :s

Sure $49 to $252 is a great return, but for those poor bastards that bought in the 400's lol... damn I should have taken a short position yesterday

Edit: Side note, my http://www.shiftplanning.com/ PP investment return over the last two years is 600% on paper, and my AMRN avg. is now around 4$/share, the beating in share price may have been a blessing or a curse, should find out in the next day or two :s. If AMRN pops I will be removing that money from the equity markets and dumping as much as possible into that PP as we head into the next round of raising capital. Diversity is so over rated :s
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Old 01-14-2014, 02:36 PM   #8900
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^ Just wanted to pop in and say good luck with AMRN tonight/tomorrow.

Couldn't stomach a ride on the roller coaster a second time around.

Took a small position in KNDI @ $13.27. Chinese electric car manufacturer offering the vehicles in a Zipcar like format (using a vending machine!):

Forbes Article on Kandi

With the level of pollution in China, I think this could be an interesting play. Has had a bit of a run up but it seems to be consolidating at 12-14.

Earnings are Feb 14 and December sales indicated a record month. May be worth a short-term play.

Kev
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