GGnoRE | 02-09-2021 06:48 AM | Quote:
Originally Posted by unit
(Post 9017316)
is it just me or does every stock seem like a penny stock now?
i remember the good ol days where we had these things called etfs.
now even with pandemic stocks that pretty much guarantee 50%+ over the next year, its not good enough for ppl here or on reddit. | Quote:
Originally Posted by Razor Ramon HG
(Post 9017346)
With how accessible it is now for people to invest through banking platforms/apps and how easy it is to obtain information, it's not surprising.
Why invest in an ETF when you can pick the individual "winners" instead? You expose yourself to more risk, but the newer generation is not as risk adverse.
I personally don't invest in an ETF unless it's in a sector that I'm unfamiliar with. For example, I might drop some money into the new space exploration ETF from ARK. | Quote:
Originally Posted by 68style
(Post 9017360)
... but I have to say this message thread is pretty successful, I think if you bought what people have posted in here the past couple years you would have made a tonne of money...
RS should start its own hedge fund. | Its easy to feel like you're a rockstar stock-picker in an extremely bullish markets like this but its important to keep everything in context. There's a famous saying: "Rising tide raises all boats" which is exactly what is happening with the financial markets right now. Central banks around the world have deployed what is now nicknamed as the wall-of-liquidity by pumping trillions of $ into the economy which has trickled its way into the markets. Take a look at this M3 growth below which represents the supply of money in the economy. That massive monetary stimulus combined with zero-interest-rate-policy (ZIRP) has created an environment where its virtually impossible to lose money on your investments. There's another famous saying from Buffet: "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked." https://www.omfif.org/wp-content/upl...jun20-fig2.png
I wished I saved the link, but there was a research that showed a recent strong negative correlation between stock's share price and the stock's performance: The cheaper the price of each share, the stronger the performance. Best performing stocks on average were 'penny' stocks and then $1-2 /per share stocks, $2-$5/per share stocks etc... Why is that? - Investors (particularly retail investors with smaller capital) have always had a psychological bias towards stocks with a lower share price. This is why companies choose to do stock splits to make their stock appear more accessible.
- It is much easier now for retail investors (particularly millennials) to access the stock market via Robinhood etc.
- There is euphoric sentiment in the market where investors feel like its safe to chase extreme returns through micro-cap stocks, bitcoin, GME etc.
A lot of you guys are also looking down on ETFs but the point of ETFs is not to generate the highest possible return, its to target a good risk-adjusted return through diversification. Again, in an environment like this, its easy to forget the importance of diversification, but proper risk management is what separates the novices from the experts. If you are into picking micro-cap stocks like a lot of the names mentioned in this thread, you should consider benchmarking your performance against a passive approach like IWC (iShares US Micro-cap ETF). It has over +60% return since November 2020 and over +150% return since COVID-bottom in March 2020. How does your portfolio compare against that on a risk-adjusted basis (portfolio return / portfolio volatility)? If you are not beating a passive investment alternative on a risk-adjusted basis, you are either taking more risk than you need to get the same amount of return, or you are generating less return for the same amount of risk in your portfolio. |