Quote:
Originally Posted by GGnoRE
(Post 9019691)
Not trying to be rude but its crazy to me that you would swing your equity exposure from 100 -> 0 based on gut intuition and some discretionary signals. Either your stock portfolio must be a trivial portion of your total wealth or you have incredible confidence in your trading skills. |
I have confidence in my trading skills.
It is very simple, I have large sums of profits that I am more than satisfied with. I would not like to give back much of it, and the last 2 weeks I have given enough back. That coupled with the “mass media” news spreading that yield news info around, and a lot of the sectors that I took my profits from are seeing red... and the downside risk is tremendous... The answer is obvious. The trade is over. Move onto the next thing.
Like I said a some weeks back that I am not a typical “investor”. I trade the market. I see opportunities, I enter them, I take my profits or cut my losses, and I run, and never look back. Always another opportunity somewhere else, it’s endless.
I’m pretty sure I’ve told you guys all that I average up. So that might change the picture a bit for you now that you know that.
“diversification is protection against ignorance. It makes little sense if you know what you are doing.” -Warren Buffet
He said it best.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonick
(Post 9019684)
Did you buy back in yet? I am hesitant about the market too and pulled out early last week but markets had the biggest green day yesterday, and so I'm not sure if pulling out was the best move or not or if the worst is still to come. |
Nope, and it’ll sadden you to hear this, but I will probably not be buying back in (at least that’s not the focus anymore).
I took profits mostly from the tech sector (aapl, Tesla, nvidia, tscm, umc etc), which of course is booming. I made my profits, and I’m out. For about a month now I’ve started to transfer money from my stocks to options around the “vacation” recovery stocks, such as cruise lines, airlines, casinos/resorts, and a bit of theatres. The majority of my money will be in this industry now until things start changing then I’ll re-evaluate. The last of the money was transferred from tech stocks to options on this industry when I sold the last of my stocks.
As for the techs, I do believe apple can double or triple in the next 2-5 years. And if I didn’t believe I could make much more much faster in the “vacation” industries now I would be holding apple and adding on every time it breaks out of some consolidation. It’s the one tech company I’d go all in if I could only choose one.
ARKX is another one I am excited to see come out. I might see how much I have in expiring options when they launch and move some money into that and give that a shot. It will be volatile for sure.
I don’t mind if the techs shoot higher. I don’t usually shop when stocks are “on sale”. As I’ve said before, if it goes into a range and then has a nice break to the upside, I may enter again, yes, at a higher price. I’d rather wait for that confirmation.
But my focus has moved to something else now, and everything else is just behind me. I don’t really fall in love with positions/stocks.
I treat all my securities positions like workers. As soon as I’m satisfied with them or they’re not doing a good job, I just get rid of them. And go look for new workers to hire, they ain’t my friend, or my lover. Once I’m done with them, they’re history. I move on to the next one, and don’t look back. Always another one around the corner.