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I think as of right now, one thing that isn't readily apparent in the stats we commonly access is asking price/selling price ratio. I think we're at the point where you can make an offer on a property, and unlike a few years ago, that offer better not be 20% ABOVE asking just to get their attention, its offering 10-20% BELOW asking, because its been sitting for awhile. So even though you aren't seeing price reduced stickers in the front lawn, they are there. My case study house finally sold. It was a full renovate up the street from me. Went from a crack shack to a nice house, "flipped" by the owner. Went from asking 900k when it was first complete, to sitting empty for a year(with healthy holding costs) to a reduced asking price of $739k. Who knows what the actual price ended up being. I'd love nothing more than to be a house flipper, but with numbers like that, its not worth it in Van anymore. |
You have to choose the right properties to flip, many people are still making a tonne of money on reno's, you have to choose your property, be good at what you do, and have connections. The margins though on building from the ground up and turning a profit are way bigger east of BC however Posted via RS Mobile |
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It's no surprise that independent retailers and other interesting businesses are getting squeezed. People may cry about the loss of cultural landmarks (I like the Tiki Bar as much as the next person), but I bet most people would rather save on their property taxes and have condos come in as opposed to forking over more taxes so that niche businesses such as the Waldorf are more viable. And the starving artists who are crying foul? They're all renters anyway and probably don't vote in council elections, so the politicians could care less about them. Posted via RS Mobile |
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Well yea, you better be a contractor if your Reno'ing to flip Posted via RS Mobile |
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I thought this was a very interesting post from Vancouver price drop : It shows the current housing drop in Vancouver compared to other cities in North America: http://vancouverpricedrop.wordpress....-january-2013/ Quote:
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Vancouver real-estate firm admits faking investor for TV news Quote:
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this was the original news story that was false but was originally done to spur up condo demand: Quote:
Year of the Snake nets condo sales: developers | CTV British Columbia News |
It is of my opinion that the real estate bubble has hampered the expansion of entertainment and cultural venues in town. Developers have made so much money from skyrocketing land prices that they are able to bankroll local elections. This way, they get their plans approved over, say, a new theatre or arena. Here's an article about it (it's a poorly written one but the underlying message is sound). This bubble has long lasting and far reaching effects that people might not realize. One of the reasons that Vancouver is no fun city is that all the potential places to have fun have been occupied by condos. It really makes me question whether I want to keep living in this town, and I know that sounds petty but Vancouver is shooting itself in the foot with respect to becoming a world city. |
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Not to mention the olympic village fiasco that we are still on the hook for. we're probably lost $500 million from this deal alone. |
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Yes, clubs are destroyed to build condos. That affects a certain amount of people, and makes the city "less fun" So many businesses are levelled because the primary purpose of the place is to make money. And, they sell out and make money on the land. Then, you have a group of people that have less disposable income because of their housing that they can't support businesses. And industry. They started buying the Hastings corridor in East Van. Well, that was primarily an industrial area. It still could be, but its cheaper to move to industrial parks and vacate that area. Meaning, your employees and customers need to commute in. So then you say we need more public transit to support these new areas, when in reality, you had it, but you leveled it to make more bedrooms. Everyone talks about live-work neighborhoods, but no one is moving in that direction, unless people work small retail and starbucks. There are a few key areas that could support a fantastic system of local made, real products in an area close to residential neighborhoods. Hastings is one. New West has another. The pressure for development is: condos. Great for the tax base, great for construction...but not really great for life. |
^ so true. My fave mechanic, Salvidge auto, ceased operations on 4th & Fir as his taxes went up 100% year over year. $40K before turning on the lights, that's alot of oil changes. The condoleers are coming. |
I think a lot of people, including many working for the typical media rags, are a bit behind the times when it comes to the economy and land use. There is a substantial number of entrepreneurs and start-ups who don't necessarily need a lot of space to run their businesses. Now, I don't roll in the start-up circle, but the number of them in the region is growing by the day to the point where you can't deny their existence and thus their potential impact on the economy. There are definitely a lot of people living on credit in the city, but there also those who do well and shelter their income through their companies. I've done a bit of reading and this seems to be a explanation put out by some local economists. This may explain why average incomes are lower in Metro Vancouver in comparison to other major cities in Canada. Posted via RS Mobile |
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Since the focus is on residential developments, office towers have been left behind. AAA office space in the downtown core is $40/sf, and many businesses have been squeezed out of the city, heading into the suburbs. I wonder what Vancouver will look like in 15-20 years. Will people have learned from their mistakes, or will it be too late? |
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One of my buddies basically got lucky, they owned a business. His taxes went up 100%. but a developer came in couple years later and asked to purchase his land for like 7 million dollars or something like that, he bought it for like $1.2 million or something. The property taxes are a small price to pay for the net worth of your property increasing. The guy basically won the lottery. |
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Equity in anything is worthless...zilch, zero...unless you sell it, or borrow against it. If a person wants to run their business, it doesn't matter if its worth 1 mill, 7 mill or $10. It's a space where they do their business. In that regard, property taxes DO matter, and they are very fucking high for a business in Vancouver. So, for those keeping score: Land? Unavailable and expensive. Taxes? Sky fucking high Oh yes, come and open a small business..you are the future employers of Canada! Sure. The fuck they are. |
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The ones we should feel for are the ones that want to come in, the ones that want to start a new business, and can't compete because certain areas are too expensive, or rent is too high because of the lack of supply of commercial space due to space being converted to condos. Yes it's hard for businesses to compete when taxes are sky high. This is the the blame of the Municipality. What happens is they get greedy so they Zone everything to mixed use or residential, instead of commercial or light industrial. When this happens the property value of those lots skyrocket. Cause now it can be developed into a skyscraper. City can solve a lot of these issues if they dont change the official community plan or rezone any of those prime areas to residential. The only major areas remaining for businesses outside of downtown is Hastings, which is unfortunately slowly being zoned to mixed use / high density residential. |
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Only major office space I can think of is the new metro tower 3 at metrotown, and the development at Renfrew and Broadway. But they could have made more density here as a lot of this space seems wasted. There should be more office spaces going up in brentwood, production way. We need more supply in order to make rents cheaper. |
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Metro 3 will soak up a lot of the demand for premium space, so the key is to watch how quickly its filled out. If they can fill it without challenge, then obviously there is demand for more space. I'm not even talking office space though. I'm talking anything. The Hastings area should stay zoned commercial, and you could have any of 1000 things located within minutes of downtown. Even the small office/warehouse townhouse kind of things(forget the name you'd use) where you could have flooring, and cabinet makers and all that other stuff within minutes of downtown. The key is zoning it properly, publicly stating that zoning won't change and that kills monetary increases on selling out to condos. And oh! Don't we have a problem with employment in the DTES? God, having a productive area minutes away would go a long way to solving some of those issues wouldn't it. No one will build it if they can do the same space, or more space for less money in Burnaby, or Richmond or wherever. |
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this city DOES NOT need more poorly built condos that will look like arse in 30 years (look at yaletown - looking its age) |
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