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I also don't know where you find that they are going by all claims instead of just crashes. That study says: Quote:
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I am out of word. I'm skimming through the study for the first time, and I have no idea how you're coming up with some of these claims of trying to disprove it. You said that they are including all imported vehicles in their stats, but that doesn't seem to be the case. Quote:
Regarding the statistics, not sure how much clearer it needs to be laid out for you. http://i60.tinypic.com/1tk1oo.png I'm no statistics major, so I can't say I understand the pages and pages of lead up to this chart, but I'm pretty sure this is proof that the difference seen between RHD and LHD vehicles is almost certainly not due to chance. They have also tried removing as many variables as they could, and this is only for crashes, not just "claims". RHD vehicles are 31% more likely to get into accidents than LHD vehicles. There just aren't any ifs and buts about this. |
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But like I said before, the "very visible" minority of people who drive performance-oriented (your Silvias, RX7's, Impreza WRX, Supras, Skylines, etc.) RHD vehicles are - not to generalize here - idiots. Drifting, hooning, racing, all the time. I drive a lot every day and I see this frequently. Not to mention a lot of them have N signs, and the entire N stage exists because people at that age/driving experience simply are at greater risk to crash. What I am trying to say here is that the car itself isn't the problem - its the driver. Think about it, a car by itself is not, in and of itself, "dangerous". Can you think of other, relatively normal, LHD vehicles that would be banned if that were the case, i.e, a few idiot drivers who ruin it for everyone? Here are a few: Lifted domestic trucks White Lexus SUVs Any BMW Any black car from Surrey with chrome wheels 20" in size or larger Toyota Prius Perhaps instead of going on about how RHD cars are 'bad', we could make people take a driving test in one before they can insure it... or flat out increase driver education and awareness, something I find in BC is sorely lacking. |
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Let's say you're a good driver, and the chance of you getting into a single crash in 10 years of driving is 10% in a LHD vehicle. Let's say the risk only marginally increases to 14% in a RHD vehicle. Odds are you won't get into any accidents regardless of whether you drive a LHD or a RHD vehicle. There's a slight increase in risk, but overall it's still low. The bigger problem is with the bad drivers. Let's say on average they get into two crashes every 10 years in a LHD vehicle. With the same 40% increase, they are likely to get into three crashes in the same 10 year period. Basically, the argument would be that one crash per bad driver could be reduced every ten years by banning RHD vehicles. Quote:
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Using that to correct my rough math the accidents are even lower, by banning RHD vehicles they would prevent a measly 22 claims a year. Out of 260k. Congrats, they could reduce accident claims by 0.008%. That of course also means it only takes that small number of accidents to skew the results one way or the other. |
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Yes, it is significant, because they easily just prevented an additional few hundred crashes per year or whatever it is. Do you have an easier way to reduce the number of crashes by a few hundred per year? Quote:
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Make sense?! |
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The numbers here are much less certain that you assert them to be. The data given reads as follows: "There is a 95% chance that the average rate of crashes for a RHD vehicle is within the range of 1.09-1.56" So.. there's a 5% chance the true rate isn't actually in this range, and to say what it actually is for certain is actually not really asserted, it's just in that range. This isn't to say that the data is useless but I'd just like to see it interpreted correctly. I think it should be unsurprising that this is a fact. RHD is worse than LHD in a couple situations in traffic. But the real crux of the problem is that the smallness of the number of RHD cars that actually do drive our roads is low enough such that it's not justifiable to ban them. When you outlaw anything you're restricting the freedom of a citizen to do something that can have value. Obviously in any reasonable society we agree that we should trade some freedom (such as using certain drugs, or taking other people's possessions) for security/stability/safety/etc etc. A lot of RHD cars fall into this "grey-area" of value to the individuals that enjoy the right to own/use these, and the affect it has on the society. Alcohol is a clear analogy. If no one ever drank alcohol, there would be no alcohol poisoning, drunk driving, alcohol addictions, violent drunken behavior, etc. but the amount that people actually enjoy alcohol outweighs these negative side effects. People have fun, get together, business is done, etc. Other clear analogies are motorcycles and fast motorcycles. RHD cars are no different. There are really not that many, so the actual net effect they have on accidents rates is so small that banning them is just pointlessly restrictive to the people that want to have them. |
did the survey, gotta practice due diligence to keep the scene alive. |
What about center steering wheel? Are they gonna ban these cars as well? Because there are so many center steering cars out there, here are few examples. Tramontana R http://noticias.coches.com/wp-conten...montana-r4.jpg Peel P45 https://jimoncars.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/p45.jpg Tango T600 http://cdn.greenoptions.com/7/78/789...gojuly10sf.jpg HTT Plethore https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8032/...ec43dcea_o.jpg Nissan New Mobility http://car.watch.impress.co.jp/img/c...84/059/n01.jpg BAC Mono http://cdn2.autoexpress.co.uk/sites/...n-tracking.jpg McLaren F1 http://www.thesupercars.org/wp-conte...variations.jpg Bizzarrini Manta http://www.ultimatecarpage.com/images/large/2990-1.jpg Formula Ford http://i.ytimg.com/vi/tmZMwk14r4c/maxresdefault.jpg |
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There is a 5% likelihood that it is somewhere outside of that range, but even in the 95% likelihood of it being in that range, it can't be ascertained exactly what the real percentage is between 9% and 56%. |
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Personally, increased driver education and increased difficulty in getting/keeping a license would help decrease stats across the board, not just between RHD or LHD cars. I don't think anyone disagrees that a RHD car is inherently at a disadvantage due to the difference in driver position, but we can't let shitty drivers ruin another good thing... :( If we had to slow all progress down so the slowest, stupidest, and, to borrow a term from Darwin, "unfit" would survive, we wouldn't ever get anywhere. Just my $0.02 |
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I just got my R32 a few days ago and I really don't see what this left turn fuss is about any more. Just a note I've driven LHD my entire life... For years I have been heard it time and time again that left turns are impossible, dangerous etc etc and it really isn't. First, if you pay attention to oncoming traffic there isn't any real added risk, and I find it actually easier to see pedestrians crossing the street than I do in an LHD in a left turn situation because of the A pillar and my point of view. Just use your brain and don't pull all the way into the intersection. I don't care if the argument is that not all drivers are that smart, if you aren't that intelligent to minimise that only real handicap that RHD really has, then you probably shouldn't be driving an RHD. I found by not pulling up all the way, it gives you a good enough visual range to safely judge a turn that you can make. I feel so much better driving RHD on Lions Gate Bridge though, ban or not ill just register the car elsewhere.. |
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That ICBC study was proven in-accurate. http://import-era.com/attachments/as...right-pdf.216/ |
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If trends like this continue against our motoring privileges it wont be long till we are all driving the same foam lined auto piloted eggs with the only difference between them being colour. |
the link goes to a log in page can you screen shot ? I'd like to see what it says |
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If any single one of those other factors are proven to be significantly more likely to get into accidents as well, then a case could be made against them too. |
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We're done here. |
I think they should ban all drivers who can't parallel park with a maximum of 1 correction, drive a manual transmission, or run a 1:30 or faster at Mission Raceway's road course, but that's just me. I have no opinion on whether or not we should ban RHD cars having not read the research, if they are truly not more likely to be in an accident, then I would support not banning them. With that said, to suggest that a RHD car is not disadvantaged when making a left turn with a car opposite doing the same is just silly. -Mark |
they should just make a rhd vehicle only lane :P only rhd gets to be in the lane and we go as fast as we want and no cops are allowed to say anything. |
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That feel when you see a huge truck waiting to make a left turn at an intersection, and you're in a tiny LHD vehicle waiting to make a left turn as well :badpokerface: Anyways, with regards to banning RHD I don't have much of an opinion. If you fuck up a left turn at an intersection and cause a collision, it's your fault - it shouldn't matter whether or not you're driving a LHD or RHD vehicle if you aren't certain making the turn is safe then don't do it. |
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