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07-22-2021, 03:54 PM
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#11651 | Hacked RS to become a mod
Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Sunny Hong Kong
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Fully Vaxxed and ready to share popsicles |
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07-22-2021, 04:00 PM
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#11652 | Performance Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: Richmond
Posts: 16,836
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I feel like there's a euphemism buried in that analogy somewhere.
In?
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07-22-2021, 04:21 PM
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#11653 | Rs has made me the woman i am today!
Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: Burnaby
Posts: 4,074
Thanked 6,800 Times in 1,659 Posts
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Originally Posted by westopher Well, they offer that much protection in a circumstance where there would be a 100% chance of being infected. Like kissing, sharing a popsicle with an infected person, etc.
If you have 60% protection, you could share 3 popsicles with an infected person before you were likely to get infected.
If there is low frequency of the virus in public, you already have a very low percentage of likelihood of being infected. If 1/10000 people in BC is infected, you already have a 0.01% chance of coming across someone that has it. Then you have to interact with that person in a way that causes infection.
I can’t give you exact numbers of how likely that is to happen without spending hours on formulas, as the only math I can hash out quickly is food cost lol.
But hopefully that clarifies it a bit. | I guess an analogy to my question would be...
If body armour is "80% effective" does that mean it'll stop 8 bullets out of 10 but not 2? Or does it mean I have a 80% chance of survival even if all 10 bullets go through because the armour slows down the bullets?
But I guess in the end these are all hyperbolic questions because if you have bad luck, or put yourself at risk by standing in a small room with 300 people, then they don't mean much.
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07-22-2021, 04:29 PM
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#11654 | Hacked RS to become a mod
Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Sunny Hong Kong
Posts: 53,538
Thanked 24,530 Times in 8,536 Posts
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| Quote:
Originally Posted by inv4zn I guess an analogy to my question would be...
If body armour is "80% effective" does that mean it'll stop 8 bullets out of 10 but not 2? Or does it mean I have a 80% chance of survival even if all 10 bullets go through because the armour slows down the bullets?
But I guess in the end these are all hyperbolic questions because if you have bad luck, or put yourself at risk by standing in a small room with 300 people, then they don't mean much. | If, say, body armor is "80% effective at preventing death", that means there's an 80% chance each time you're shot that it's prevented.
So if you get shot once, you are pretty safe (but sometimes one shot is still enough), but if you get shot 10 times there's a good chance you'll die. As for actual numbers I'm sure someone can figure that out... 20% chance of dying over 10 times?
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07-22-2021, 04:49 PM
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#11655 | I Will not Admit my Addiction to RS
Join Date: Oct 2010 Location: Burnaby
Posts: 578
Thanked 254 Times in 101 Posts
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I always assumed they come up with a % protection based on a sample size. IE: 100 people with vaccine, exposed to virus, 20 people end up infected = the vaccine has a "80% chance of protecting" the population.
Which also means, from the individual's perspective, if you're one of the 20 who still got infected, you may as well interpret the vaccine as 0% protection for you... As in, it still either works or it doesn't. Of course I assume those who still get infected have less severe symptoms as a result of vaccination, so are still safer at the end.
But with a super large sample size in the millions, we can 'generalize' the odds of how likely YOU are one of the unlucky ones to get the virus after vaccination.
This is just how I imagined they come up with those numbers, with 0 knowledge. So I'm hopefully wrong :P
EDIT:
For the 2 analogies above regarding body armor. I interpret as, 10 people are given armor and are shot. 2 people die. Therefore we can conclude that the armor is 80% effective for the general population. But for the 2 people who died, the 80% statistic doesn't mean squat.
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<:D
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07-22-2021, 05:02 PM
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#11656 | Willing to sell a family member for a few minutes on RS
Join Date: Apr 2011 Location: North vancouver
Posts: 12,764
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The thing is, it’s about catching covid, not dying. There aren’t levels of death.
20/100 people may catch covid, and maybe 2 out of those 20 will even show minor symptoms
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98 technoviolet M3/2/5 Quote:
Originally Posted by boostfever Westopher is correct. | Quote:
Originally Posted by fsy82 seems like you got a dick up your ass well..get that checked | Quote:
Originally Posted by punkwax Well.. I’d hate to be the first to say it, but Westopher is correct. | |
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07-22-2021, 05:17 PM
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#11657 | To me, there is the Internet and there is RS
Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Okanagan
Posts: 16,798
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Using the body armour analogy, the vaccines first reduces the odds of you getting shot at all. So say out of 100 people that got shot, 90 had no armour and 10 had armour. Then it also reduces the severity of the symptoms. So the 90 with no armour who got shot now have bullet wounds. The 10 with armour who got shot now have some serious bruising. Out of the 90 with bullet wounds, some will die. Out of the 10 with armour there's still a very slim chance of a bullet slipping through the gaps and killing them, but it's tiny compared to the number of un-armoured people dying.
__________________ 1991 Toyota Celica GTFour RC // 2007 Toyota Rav4 V6 // 2000 Jeep Grand Cherokee
1992 Toyota Celica GT-S ["sold"] \\ 2007 Jeep Grand Cherokee CRD [sold] \\ 2000 Jeep Cherokee [sold] \\ 1997 Honda Prelude [sold] \\ 1992 Jeep YJ [sold/crashed] \\ 1987 Mazda RX-7 [sold] \\ 1987 Toyota Celica GT-S [crushed] Quote:
Originally Posted by maksimizer half those dudes are hotter than ,my GF. | Quote:
Originally Posted by RevYouUp reading this thread is like waiting for goku to charge up a spirit bomb in dragon ball z | Quote:
Originally Posted by Good_KarMa OH thank god. I thought u had sex with my wife. :cry: | |
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07-22-2021, 05:48 PM
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#11658 | I have named my kids VIC and VLS
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 38,004
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2 weeks after second shot just live your life at a comfort level you feel is adequate.
Bullet proof vests or sharing a popsicle aside lol
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Dank memes cant melt steel beams
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07-22-2021, 06:09 PM
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#11659 | Willing to sell a family member for a few minutes on RS
Join Date: Apr 2011 Location: North vancouver
Posts: 12,764
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I got a box of popsicles for next RS meet for whoever wants to share.
__________________
98 technoviolet M3/2/5 Quote:
Originally Posted by boostfever Westopher is correct. | Quote:
Originally Posted by fsy82 seems like you got a dick up your ass well..get that checked | Quote:
Originally Posted by punkwax Well.. I’d hate to be the first to say it, but Westopher is correct. | |
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07-22-2021, 06:19 PM
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#11660 | Fathered more RS members than anybody else. Who's your daddy?
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 24,974
Thanked 11,669 Times in 4,988 Posts
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Captain Happy Bubble has the best fried chicken, BTW, amongst other things.
After a few weeks of second shot, I’ve still to experience any kind of side effects. Pfizer Moderna mix. I’m thinking of going for a third shot. Just have to wait to hear officially when that is even permitted. If I can’t cross into the US when the boArder opens up, because I’m a halfer, I’m going all Karen and shit. Hell hath no fury like a frugal asian scorned.
__________________ Quote:
"there but for the grace of god go I"
| Quote:
Youth is, indeed, wasted on the young.
| YODO = You Only Die Once.
Dirty look from MG1 can melt steel beams.
"There must be dissonance before resolution - MG1" a musical reference.
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07-22-2021, 06:33 PM
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#11661 | Hacked RS to become a mod
Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Sunny Hong Kong
Posts: 53,538
Thanked 24,530 Times in 8,536 Posts
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| Quote:
Originally Posted by MG1 Captain Happy Bubble has the best fried chicken, BTW, amongst other things.
After a few weeks of second shot, I’ve still to experience any kind of side effects. Pfizer Moderna mix. I’m thinking of going for a third shot. Just have to wait to hear officially when that is even permitted. If I can’t cross into the US when the boArder opens up, because I’m a halfer, I’m going all Karen and shit. Hell hath no fury like a frugal asian scorned. | They did a vaccine Q&A here and the topic of a third shot came up. They said they will consider it for people with Sinovac, starting with healthcare workers, but for people with Pfizer they won't even bother until the overall rate is at 70%.
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07-22-2021, 06:48 PM
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#11662 | Waxin’ Punks
Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: South Surrey
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Originally Posted by westopher I got a box of popsicles for next RS meet for whoever wants to share. |
Please.
__________________
If you drive like an asshole, you probably are one. Quote:
Originally Posted by MG1 punkwax, I don't care what your friends say about you, you are gold! | Quote:
Originally Posted by mikemhg What do your farts sound like then? | |
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07-22-2021, 07:05 PM
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#11663 | I have named my kids VIC and VLS
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 38,004
Thanked 15,175 Times in 6,084 Posts
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Originally Posted by MG1 Captain Happy Bubble has the best fried chicken, BTW, amongst other things.
After a few weeks of second shot, I’ve still to experience any kind of side effects. Pfizer Moderna mix. I’m thinking of going for a third shot. Just have to wait to hear officially when that is even permitted. If I can’t cross into the US when the boArder opens up, because I’m a halfer, I’m going all Karen and shit. Hell hath no fury like a frugal asian scorned. | They finally had Somone who was actually level headed on 980 today and he was talking about how if you take a 3rd vaccine of somthing else or the same shot as your first one, they may not consider you fully vaccinated either as the first shot and your “3rd” shot of the same one were too far apart..
What a headache
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Dank memes cant melt steel beams
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07-22-2021, 09:08 PM
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#11664 | RS has made me the bitter person i am today!
Join Date: Apr 2014 Location: Van
Posts: 4,805
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89 cases yesterday x4 the amount we had at the beginning of the month
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07-22-2021, 09:53 PM
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#11665 | Willing to sell a family member for a few minutes on RS
Join Date: Apr 2011 Location: North vancouver
Posts: 12,764
Thanked 32,645 Times in 7,618 Posts
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Hospitalizations are the lowest since sept 1st 2020
__________________
98 technoviolet M3/2/5 Quote:
Originally Posted by boostfever Westopher is correct. | Quote:
Originally Posted by fsy82 seems like you got a dick up your ass well..get that checked | Quote:
Originally Posted by punkwax Well.. I’d hate to be the first to say it, but Westopher is correct. | |
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07-22-2021, 10:36 PM
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#11666 | To me, there is the Internet and there is RS
Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Okanagan
Posts: 16,798
Thanked 9,482 Times in 4,138 Posts
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| Quote:
Originally Posted by Hondaracer They finally had Somone who was actually level headed on 980 today and he was talking about how if you take a 3rd vaccine of somthing else or the same shot as your first one, they may not consider you fully vaccinated either as the first shot and your “3rd” shot of the same one were too far apart..
What a headache | Wouldn't you be more likely to have your 3rd shot match your 2nd?
__________________ 1991 Toyota Celica GTFour RC // 2007 Toyota Rav4 V6 // 2000 Jeep Grand Cherokee
1992 Toyota Celica GT-S ["sold"] \\ 2007 Jeep Grand Cherokee CRD [sold] \\ 2000 Jeep Cherokee [sold] \\ 1997 Honda Prelude [sold] \\ 1992 Jeep YJ [sold/crashed] \\ 1987 Mazda RX-7 [sold] \\ 1987 Toyota Celica GT-S [crushed] Quote:
Originally Posted by maksimizer half those dudes are hotter than ,my GF. | Quote:
Originally Posted by RevYouUp reading this thread is like waiting for goku to charge up a spirit bomb in dragon ball z | Quote:
Originally Posted by Good_KarMa OH thank god. I thought u had sex with my wife. :cry: | |
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07-22-2021, 10:48 PM
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#11667 | in the butt
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 2,882
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Originally Posted by westopher I got a box of popsicles for next RS meet for whoever wants to share. | Can you put one in my mouth bic boi?
__________________ Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr.Money i hate people who sound like they smoke meth then pretend like they matter.
Originally Posted by ilovebacon
Does anyone have a pair of 25 pounds one-inch hole for sale at a reasonable price?
Originally Posted by mikemhg
Clothes come off and my car is permeated with the smell of fillet-o-fish and canned tuna. | |
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07-22-2021, 10:54 PM
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#11668 | Willing to sell a family member for a few minutes on RS
Join Date: Apr 2011 Location: North vancouver
Posts: 12,764
Thanked 32,645 Times in 7,618 Posts
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Only if your double vaxxed
__________________
98 technoviolet M3/2/5 Quote:
Originally Posted by boostfever Westopher is correct. | Quote:
Originally Posted by fsy82 seems like you got a dick up your ass well..get that checked | Quote:
Originally Posted by punkwax Well.. I’d hate to be the first to say it, but Westopher is correct. | |
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07-23-2021, 02:11 AM
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#11669 | I only answer to my username, my real name is Irrelevant!
Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: CELICAland
Posts: 25,667
Thanked 10,387 Times in 3,913 Posts
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Lots of ontario plates, are they still on lockdown?
Also lots of ppl street racing, be careful out there!
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07-23-2021, 07:57 AM
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#11670 | :inoutugh:
Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: ඞ
Posts: 9,985
Thanked 5,851 Times in 1,843 Posts
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Originally Posted by StylinRed Lots of ontario plates, are they still on lockdown? | No longer on lockdown. So we are all traveling cross-country to fuck up your shit. /s lol
__________________ Posted from NE 1-J W Inglis Building |
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07-23-2021, 08:28 AM
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#11671 | I have named my kids VIC and VLS
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 38,004
Thanked 15,175 Times in 6,084 Posts
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In Montreal, mont-tremblant specifically we went to a fully packed nightclub like shoulder to shoulder no masks
Not the place I wanted to be persay but when you’re half cut ya go with the flow
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Dank memes cant melt steel beams
Last edited by Hondaracer; 07-23-2021 at 08:54 AM.
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07-23-2021, 08:54 AM
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#11672 | I told him no, what y'all do?
Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Vancouver
Posts: 10,169
Thanked 6,024 Times in 2,616 Posts
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Originally Posted by donk. Can you put one in my mouth bic boi? | this post and your avatar
__________________ Feedback http://www.revscene.net/forums/showthread.php?t=611711 Quote: Greenstoner 1 rat shit ruins the whole congee originalhypa You cannot live the life of a whore and expect a monument to your chastity | Quote:
[22-12, 08:51]mellomandidnt think and went in straight..scrapped like a bitch
[17-09, 12:07]FastAnna glowjob
[17-09, 12:08]FastAnna I like dat
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07-23-2021, 09:05 AM
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#11673 | Fathered more RS members than anybody else. Who's your daddy?
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 24,974
Thanked 11,669 Times in 4,988 Posts
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| Quote:
Originally Posted by punkwax
Please. | Would you guys stop talking about popsicles? It reminds me of this mother/daughter porn I watched ages ago. Mom is showing daughter how to............ anyway, daughter goes............ mmmmmmm, it's like a warm popsicle. A "warmsicle."
Daughter was hot, mom, not so much. One of those, "has been," porn actresses.
Then donk wants westopher to put one in his mouth.......... like, WTF? I don't want to know you guys anymore, gulolol. Save it for Captain Happy Bubble. Wait, none of those guys are members.............. I think it's high time we invite westopher, the Samoan, to be one of the few privileged RS members to be included in the elite few who have been chosen.
Gawd, that was awful engrish........... thanks, RS. I can no longer write properly. Imma gonna half too try Gramerlly.
__________________ Quote:
"there but for the grace of god go I"
| Quote:
Youth is, indeed, wasted on the young.
| YODO = You Only Die Once.
Dirty look from MG1 can melt steel beams.
"There must be dissonance before resolution - MG1" a musical reference.
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07-23-2021, 09:57 AM
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#11674 | Pull Out Towing. Women rescued for free.
Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Hongcouver
Posts: 8,449
Thanked 2,414 Times in 1,283 Posts
Failed 128 Times in 71 Posts
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Originally Posted by MG1 Would you guys stop talking about popsicles? It reminds me of this mother/daughter porn I watched ages ago. Mom is showing daughter how to............ anyway, daughter goes............ mmmmmmm, it's like a warm popsicle. A "warmsicle."
Daughter was hot, mom, not so much. One of those, "has been," porn actresses.. | Links or it didn't happen. Asking for a friend.
__________________ Originally posted by Iceman_19 you should have tried to touch his penis. that really throws them off. Originally posted by The7even SumAznGuy > Billboa Originally posted by 1990TSI SumAznGuy> Internet > tinytrix Quote:
Originally Posted by tofu1413 and icing on the cake, lady driving a newer chrysler 200 infront of me... jumped out of her car, dropped her pants, did an immediate squat and did probably the longest public relief ever...... steam and all. | (11-0-0) Buy/Sell rating Christine Shitvic Pull Out Towing |
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07-23-2021, 10:30 AM
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#11675 | Fathered more RS members than anybody else. Who's your daddy?
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 24,974
Thanked 11,669 Times in 4,988 Posts
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Let me go through my terabytes upon terabytes of porn and see if I can find it......... I really need a better filing system, lol.
Honestly, this was like before............ wait, it wasn't on VHS, so not that old.
You're a hoot.
__________________ Quote:
"there but for the grace of god go I"
| Quote:
Youth is, indeed, wasted on the young.
| YODO = You Only Die Once.
Dirty look from MG1 can melt steel beams.
"There must be dissonance before resolution - MG1" a musical reference.
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