^
The only thing that makes me not think that is how much Saul obviously cares for and loves (in a non-romantic way) Carrie. He knew she would be there and was clearly distraught she couldn't be found after the incident.
It DOES make sense because Saul has an alibi as said before, was desperately trying to keep Brody alive (to frame him?), etc. From Saul's character throughout the seasons though, this wouldn't make a whole lot of sense. What would be the motive behind it?
Nothing to watch now, any suggestions?