Quote:
Originally Posted by dinosaur
Well...here is what I can see happening...
Liberal party will lose and be in a minority position against the NDP. Cons may pick up a handful of seats (MAYBE) and Green may get 1..possibly 2 (most likely on the Island or Coast).
Liberal party has a huge chance of imploding. They either dump CC and focus on rebuilding and come out swinging in the next election or die a slow death and consider merging with the Cons....maybe a little BC Reform style. OR they totally crumble and but the time the next election comes, they are dead and the Cons become the official Anti-NDP party...which, honestly, I'd kind of like to see.
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Back in Feb / March-ish, I had mostly the same outlook as you do. But as the election campaign went on, I am continually surprised by how much the Liberals are hanging on or even re-gaining support. At the same time, I am surprised by how much people absolutely dread the NDP and their economic policies, to that point that they are still willing to stick with the Liberals despite their obvious incompetence.
I have no doubts that the NDP will win the election, but I no longer think the Liberals will implode anymore. Undoubtedly, Crusty Clown will be ousted, but how big the post election re-organization will be remains to be seen.