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Old 10-01-2015, 01:06 PM   #307
Traum
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Traditionally, the Canadian Prime Minister has always come from either the Conservative Party or the Liberals (we will casually ignore how the parties evolve over time, and aren't really exactly the same thing as they are today). More importantly, until the current administration, the Liberals and the Conservatives have almost always been the Official Opposition party while the other serves as the governing party. So suffice to say, I view the Libs and the Cons as more of the rivals for each other. So to me, it seems less likely that they will work together.

Also, current polling seems to suggest the Cons are at the top (in terms of popular support) with a slim lead, followed by the Libs in 2nd place, and the NDP in 3rd. Generally with situations like this, the 3rd place finisher will more often play the kingmaker role. So unless Libs' support drop back to 3rd place -- this seems unlikely to me -- I don't expect them to team up with the Cons to leave the NDP out.

But hey, anything can happen in politics. I certainly don't expect a Cons-Libs coalition / cooperative agreement happening, but if it does, I would not be super surprised.
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