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To me it looks like the lane change was complete... at 30 sec
Then at 31.5-32sec the impact occurs... at that speed, and the other driver can CLEARLY see the other car is switching lanes in.... this shouldn't have happened.
At worst I'd say 50/50.... this isn't a cut off situation, assuming your brother signaled right, and the fact that there was time to react given the slower speed.
Just my take
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