Quote:
Originally Posted by Traum
Computer technologies evolve very quickly, and the cel phone pic you quoted is an example of that. But many other things evolve much more slowly. Esp with vehicles, they are not cheap to buy or replace, and cars are generally quite durable nowadays. Getting 10 - 15 years of service out of a car is hardly surprising, so I'd anticipate that to move much more slowly.
The infrastructure will also need to be there to support the change. Can you imagine every gas station turning 1/2 of its space into EV recharge stations? And then you have to wait at least 15 - 30 min per vehicle instead of the current 5 min. Home owners have to install a home charger, and the total costs (including installation, and esp the installation) is not cheap. Apartments will probably need to install at least 1 charger for every 2 cars for it to be viable, and how much is the costs for that? Does the building even have the capacity to handle that level of power draw? Or worse -- where do you find space for it? I know with my old apartment, 2 rows of cars park next to each other (with the ends facing each other), and there is no space or anywhere really to install chargers. And still more people park their cars on the street. How do they charge their cars?
As I continue to turn into a bigger old geezer, I am increasingly realizing how some things can change very quickly, but others can be so change resistant that it is simple no good way to change even when the current method is not sustainable.
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You guys keep using outcome of today tech and apply it to the future and claim it won't be feasible. What if I tell you in 10-20 years, you can fast-charge a car battery from 10% to 80-90% in 5-10 minutes much like your cellphone today? There might not even be charging stations like gas station since there is no fuel tanks to maintain. Stations can be a lot smaller. Self-driving tech will be a whole new level (I would think won't be ready for mainstream in 20 years because of regulatory hurdles).
Point is infrastructure evolve quicker than you think. When the majority of vehicles are EVs as there are money to be made by providing new services for these EVs. 20 years ago, Internet is a niche. Today it is almost a necessity with tons of services born to support it, globally.
I would think many fossil fuel related jobs will be gone too, replaced by clean-tech related jobs. Money will drive changes and wipe out resistance.
Recognize though that Canada's industry rely so much on natural resources. I think the government are trying to change it with a lot of investments and initiatives in the tech sector. We either have to adapt or become broke I would think.
That being said, I'm also old-school and enjoy the roar of a V8 very much. Just recognize that changes are inevitable.