Quote:
Originally Posted by SkinnyPupp
This is so much worse than SARS, you can't really compare. The closest thing to this that we know about is the Spanish Flu 100 years ago. That one infected 500 million people (27% of the population), lasting 2 years. With the population being much higher, and more dense, we could have 1-2 billion infected by the time this "blows over" with around 2% of those dying (20 million)
I think we'll probably have a vaccine by 2 years, but definitely not by 5 months.
By the time the Olympics start, there could be several cities around the world on lockdown, with nobody able to enter or leave. Italy has locked down several small downs. Korea is already considering doing it in Daegu after infections quadrupled over the weekend.
Sports will be the last thing on our minds 5 months from now. Everyone complaining about things like Sony pulling out of gaming exhibitions will look pretty silly. Especially with the Mayor of Boston essentially calling them racist against Asians (yeah what?) for doing so.
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I think it's probably somewhere in between Spanish Flu and SARS, probably closer to SARS.
Trying to compare the medical treatment 100 years ago to what we have nowadays is silly. That was literally after WWI where a lot of infrastructure got destroyed and I wouldn't doubt a lot of people back then were already ill or malnutritioned, which didn't help the case.
It's not a pandemic yet, no need to blow it out of proportion. You are thinking of the worst case scenario.
I am looking at the more positive estimates because this is not 100 years ago, simple as that. SARS is at least not that long ago so some conditions are more comparable.
I also have read an interesting point of view on my company's website article on the issue. One of the employees mentioned that the media does a lot of fear mongering because that sells the story. Makes sense to me, since the media does that a lot with everything, so you can't really take what media is telling you 100%.