Quote:
Originally Posted by UnknownJinX
I think it's probably somewhere in between Spanish Flu and SARS, probably closer to SARS.
Trying to compare the medical treatment 100 years ago to what we have nowadays is silly. That was literally after WWI where a lot of infrastructure got destroyed and I wouldn't doubt a lot of people back then were already ill or malnutritioned, which didn't help the case.
It's not a pandemic yet, no need to blow it out of proportion. You are thinking of the worst case scenario.
I am looking at the more positive estimates because this is not 100 years ago, simple as that. SARS is at least not that long ago so some conditions are more comparable.
I also have read an interesting point of view on my company's website article on the issue. One of the employees mentioned that the media does a lot of fear mongering because that sells the story. Makes sense to me, since the media does that a lot with everything, so you can't really take what media is telling you 100%.
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Medical treatment will certainly help the recovery rate, but that's irrelevant to what makes it a pandemic. What matters is the replication rate, which is why this shit is spreading to fast. Even WITH improved hygiene and awareness and travel bans, this virus still has a higher replication rate than Spanish Flu. We also have a much higher population and way more rapid travel which makes it much easier to spread.
Well some of us have better hygiene than others... I still see people refusing to take this seriously, which means a lot more people are going to get it than necessary.
Also it's not a matter of if this will become a pandemic, but when. WHO say they are in the preparation stage for calling it a pandemic now. BTW since I posted that, Spain got 6 new cases.
You shouldn't compare COVID-19 to SARS because although they have similar causes, the diseases are quite different. That fact that SARS is more deadly and made you more sick is what helped contain it. It basically killed itself out, along with our ability to quickly identify people who had it. With COVID-19, you could be sick and literally have zero symptoms, or something mild like a cough. Sure that sounds great, but guess what, you're spreading it to 5 other people, some of whom WILL get very sick and possibly die. This really is the worst kind of disease to be a pandemic.
If you're looking for someone blowing this out or proportion, don't point your finger at me. I am not relying on overzealous media, I am just looking at figures and statistics and actual happenings in the news. When I say Italy has the third highest number of infections in the world, in an area not necessarily popular with Chinese travelers, I'm not making it up to be a sensational story. I am saying it's becoming a pandemic.
What's kind of annoying is that if this does get contained and controlled before it becomes too huge, people will act like it never was a big deal. I guess it doesn't matter, but will make me go
and try my best to ignore it lol