Quote:
Originally Posted by Harvey Specter
Quote:
Originally Posted by underscore
In what way? It's projected to infect 95% of the population, not everyone gets serious symptoms but those that do are of no use to anyone til they recover. Countries that are spreading it out and have decent health care are hitting a ~4% fatality rate. The US does not have good healthcare so if they don't take any action and everyone gets hit at once 10% sounds like a very attainable number.
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I wouldn't hang on every word and number the WHO is reporting. Go back and look at the numbers they reported for the Ebola outbreak, they were way way off and anyone that challenged them during that outbreak was called a conspiracy nutjob. |
Agreed here. Every region is collecting numbers differently. Some are counting probable cases and adding it to the denominator(of the death rate calculations), some are not testing the sick unless they absolutely have a reason to, which decreases the denominator. Some are testing the dead, which adds to the numerator. It's all over the place, and when you add these numbers from different kinds of standards, the meaningfulness of the result is highly debatable.
Some people use Diamond Princess as an example as it's the only closed population that has 100% of the population tested, and it's found that 1.5%(10 people) of the cases died as a result. Of course, that has its own flaws such as the sample size not being large enough and the more confined nature of it makes transmission easier.
Maybe South Korea could be an indicator if their testing program keeps growing.