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Old 03-31-2020, 01:26 AM   #3099
SkinnyPupp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hehe View Post
IMO, the "globalization" that we've grown to be accustomed in the last 3 decades or so is ending after this.

There'd be a huge surge of nationalism that I'm not even joking. The havoc and lives taken by this virus would not be easily forgotten. Especially in hard hit countries like US/IT/DE... Worse, it's going to be easily exploited. It's the first time we human in modern history, has basically been brought down to our knees to fight this instead of just carrying out our life during other pandemics.

And US, with Trump being the ass he's always been is going to be all out on this. I predict that Trump will announce an alliance kinda thing after the virus and either you are with the US or you are against the US (in principle). Canada/Mexico are unlikely to not be on board while EU/UK might join as well after some debate or they will create another one.

China will probably call one on its own with Russia

Middle East (OPEC more than anything) will probably form another alliance.

And the rest of the world would more or less take side or stand independent (if they can)

Not very different than airline alliances.

Then, instead of outsourcing to certain country, say China, South Asia or Africa, each member of the alliance would take the part they are best at. Say MX will specialize in low-end, CA provide natural resources while the US does financing/tech.
I do think that the reliance on China is coming to a quicker end (I predicted that it was ending anyway, but more over a period of decades... I'm thinking years now, if not months).
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