Quote:
Originally Posted by mikemhg
I am completely confused here.
Washington State just saw a huge spike in cases, and they are literally right next door to us.
We've had the same protests, we've opened up our economy, yet we're not seeing increased cases.
How can our counterparts literally KMs away be having such a different outcome? For sure healthcare is a piece of it, but in terms of the city setup, both Vancouver and Seattle are quite similar, one could argue more people use cars in Seattle, and public transit is more utilized in Vancouver here.
I supposed there's much more internal country travel in the US to account for these spikes? Or are we simply testing much less?
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It’s simple math. You start with 120 active cases then see exponential growth, or you start with 20000 active cases. If every person with the disease comes who comes in contact with others gives it to two people. Probability of any public contact is a lot lower when your cases are isolated in BC, compared to widespread cases in Washington. Just look at the probabilities of community transmission.
No one needs to put a tinfoil hat on about BCs testing (not directed at you) just look at the starting numbers and it explains everything.