Quote:
Originally Posted by Tapioca
Articles from the Atlantic are usually high quality reads and that analysis hits the mark.
Russia will not back down (autocracies don't back down unless they're taken down from within) and we will see a pyrrhic victory. The prospects for Ukraine are ultimately grim, despite the unity among the West on nearly all fronts (except for troops on the ground in Ukraine.)
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It's a great article but doesn't take into account the effects of the sanctions.
Russia has a large population on their side. What they don't have is money and time (time is money, friend!). They will run out of rockets eventually - those aren't cheap. Artillery are cheaper but need to be closer to the target.
I think a possible outcome is that they take the eastern portion of Ukraine, and combine it with Crimea. It depends on whether Ukraine can put on a counter offensive... If they are supplied with enough hardware, it might be possible.