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Have you guys come across any quality analysis on the economic impact Russia is suffering as a result of all the sanctions? Also, are there any estimates on how long the Russian military effort can sustain itself in a war-time, active conflict environment?
What I am thinking is -- we know the SWIFT expulsion is causing a lot of grief in the everyday lives of ordinary citizens -- the have been runs on the banks, trade is dead. We've seen Russian soldiers looking hungry, been given expired rations, etc. Tanks running out of fuel and they seem to be having re-supply issues. Actively supporting a military effort in a wartime environment is a gigantic logistical undertaking, and so far, we've seen the Russian army not doing particularly well. If there are clues or well-educated guesses on how long the war effort can last before it collapses back on itself, then you can see a timeline of sorts, you can expect the Russian effort to ramp up, get more desperate, and take more risks -- including the use of nukes -- as time wears on.
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