[Alpine]

Originally Posted by 68style

Good read about draft pick probabilities... 2/3rd of all NHL players come from the first 3 rounds.

https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/...probabilities/

This chart is particularly telling:



So 4th round is only 20% chance to play 100 games.

I bet the first round is also highly skewed because of the top 10-15 draft picks. The % of the next 15-30 players picked in the first round is probably far lower than 7x%. Top 10-15 might be 90%, 15-30 might be 60%.