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Add in the fact that everyone who's been on five-year fixed rate mortgages at historic rate lows and have been avoiding the financial pain all the variables have been feeling are starting to come up for renewal. This is where it's going to get even uglier. Fixed-rate holders are going to see their rates more than double and the sticker shock is going to have huge implications. In order to service mortgage debts tens of billions of dollars is about to be pulled out of the general economy to pay banks (there's a bit over 2T in mortgage debt nation-wide). So naturally home owners and renters are going to have to increase rent amounts to help their costs and on and on it goes with housing driven inflation. Canada has now bolted itself between a rock and a hard place with a highly inflated housing market and grossly excessive immigration leading to population increase and housing demand.
Friends who are realtors have told me the number of people who get accepted offers (buying or selling) and then the financing gets denied are through the roof. People can't get past the up to 9% stress test, so houses are sitting on the market longer and longer with needy buyers unable to get a mortgage. A million dollars requires the 20% deposit the average person doesn't have.
The fuse on the bomb keeps getting shorter, and Q4 2024 is when it's really going to start accelerating. 2025 and 2026 are when the bulk of the low fixed-rate mortgages turn over. Foreclosures, auto repossessions, and personal CC debts are all increasing already.
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