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Old 10-23-2024, 12:33 PM   #5201
AstulzerRZD
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A lot to unpack here, I also used to work in self driving and still have friends who do

Full autonomy with some edge cases is here.... with Waymo/Cruise.
Waymo/Cruise/MB take liability, Tesla does not.

Type of data matters - Tesla will never hit unsupervised city driving because of sensor placement and type of data. FSD does very well in Vancouver/DC where layout is reasonable but even 12.5 shits the bed in SF/LA/NY/Boston

Predictions
1) Level 3: MB Drive Pilot & GM Super Cruise release 80mph hands off, eyes off highway and take liability by end of 2026.
2) Level 4: Cruise partners with Lyft, Waymo with Uber for rollout across USA by end of 2025.
3) Level 5: Robotaxi does not get Cali DOT approval for testing until mid 2025, will have steering wheel & pedals to avoid FMVSS recert, will have 4 seats, and new sensors on corner of car and either radar/lidar for fog/rain/low light. Probably a modified Model 3.
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Last edited by AstulzerRZD; 10-23-2024 at 01:18 PM.
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