[supafamous]

Originally Posted by whitev70r

I see your reasoning but I don't see any party forming a majority. Who knows?

But I think (not what I want) will be a Cons minority. I want a Libs minority if Carney wins leadership (which it appears that way). I want the Libs to be held in check. If for any reason Freeland wins the Liberal party race, I want a UK passport cuz between Freeland and PP ... or Trinidad for 4 yrs?

https://338canada.com/federal.htm

338 right now says the Cons win a majority and usually if you can get 40% support you can get it and they're showing up around 42% at the moment. I imagine a focused attack on them around how they're tied up with Trump and MAGA will knock a bunch of points off them and could bring them into minority territory.

If that happens I don't see how the Cons can form government as no one will support them. They have to win a majority while the Liberals can form a minority govt with NDP support (I don't know where the Bloc will sit on things). We could actually see a situation where the Cons have the most seats but it's the Liberals who form gov't.