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Lukashenko is trying to run a tight rope of working with Putin but at the same time not overtly being controlled in the hopes of staying in power. Lukashenko is also HIGHLY unpopular in Belarus, and you can bet that the moment Russia tries to invade it'll open a Ukraine #2 can of worms. Will Belarus put up as strong of a fight as Ukraine? My guess is no, but it definitely would not be a walk in the park and Russia does not have the resources to increase it's front lines by another 40%
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